Royals Need to Offer Edwin Jackson Money
Multiple sources have confirmed that the Royals have offered 36-year-old Ryan Dempster 2 years and $26 million. Â There has been no movement on that front but with the Red Sox in the ballpark it seems unlikely that Dempster would choose KC if similar offers were put out there. Â After watching twitter favorite Brandon McCarthy ink a 2 year $15 million deal with the D-Backs it makes me wonder where is the offer for Edwin Jackson?
If you were here last year you already know that I made a case last season for a Edwin Jackson signing. Â It still seems as if Jackson is fighting the perception that he never turned into what people had hoped. Â That shouldn’t matter because what he has become is a solid 3/4. Â Don’t get me wrong if the Royals can get a #1 or #2 by flipping someone other than Wil Myers and Adalberto Mondesi then yes that would be a better move but a Jackson signing is a nice safe move for a pitcher that is pretty consistent.
Just take a quick look at Jackson’s 2012 and a couple other significant numbers:
2012 – Career Low H/9, Career High K%, Bb% last two season career lows 7.2 and 7.3,Â Average 199 IP last five seasons
The righty was hurt by a career high HR per flyball rate of 11.7%, sending his ERA to 4.03 despite a 3.85 FIP.
This seems like such a perfect fit for the Royals and their park that limits home runs. Â Just take a look at Ryan Dempster’s FIP Chart in comparison to Jackson’s as broken down by age.
Jackson has been consistently lower than Dempster since age 25 with slight bump last year while both have kept their FIP below league average since age 26.excpet for a slight pop above for Dempster at 30. Â We’ve seen Jackson out perform Dempster at the same age despite pitching in a superior league. Â It was Dempster’s eleventh season and age 31 year when he seemed to find consistency. Â What season is Jackson entering? Â His eleventh.
If the Royals aren’t going to get a #1 without giving up Myers then taking a chance that Jackson’s walk rate has plateaued and Kauffman stadium will drive down his home run rate is a very solid bet. Â No team is going to step up to a 3 year deal for EJax meaning the Royals could quickly buy out the market at 3/27 or 3/30 and get themselves an inning eating consistent pitcher who may be finding the level that Ryan Dempster did five years ago.
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