I made it out to Kauffman Stadium for the first time this season yesterday to see the Kansas City Royals.Â Â ItÂ may not have been perfect weather for a chamber of commerce ribbon cutting (too much wind blows the politicians’ hair around and ruins the photo op) but it made cavernous Kauffman a little more reachable with the windÂ blowing out to left.Â Unfortunately, none of our Royals got it over the fence, but the wind may have befuddled Twins’ right fielder Chris Colabello.
The doom and gloom of one week agoÂ after being swept by the lowlyÂ Twins has now been replaced by confidence after reeling off 5 straight wins.Â This got me pondering about the streaky nature of the Royals.Â Â It only took 6 days to go from worst to first, but that’s easier toÂ do this time of year, when few gamesÂ played means few games separate the teams of the division.Â It doesn’t hurt tat the AL Central teams have been fairly mediocre so far this season.Â Thinking back to last season, the Royals seem to be a roller coaster.Â A fan without a long-term mindsetÂ and just reacting to the day’s sportscast could undergo wild swings in disposition regarding the Royals’ chances.Â
The losing patch just before the All-Star Break stands out as a point where I thought that the dreadful May was more reflective of the team than the April that preceded it.Â Of course, the highs of August and winning series after series were tempered by the fact that the Tigers and Indians kept winning, as well.Â Â So I thought I’d check the numbers to see if the Royals were streakier than most MLB teams.
I didn’t have time to do an exhaustive analysis, but a quick review of pure streaks (consecutive wins and losses) appears to say no.Â I only tracked streaks of 4 games or longer, as anybody who played the Astros or Twins could easily post a 3 gamer.Â Â The better the team, the easier to post long winning streaks, and conversely, losing teams should be expected to have longÂ losing strings.Â Â
Teams that win about as much as they lose should have a harder time streaking, as both possibilities are equal.Â Our heroes had win streaks of 9, 6, 5, and 4 twice, while losing 8, 6, 5, and 4 twice.Â Â Their total number of streaks was in the bottom half of clubs.Â Perhaps it was the order of the streaks: that the long streaks would alternate between winning and losing.Â Maybe the appearance of streakiness to me wasÂ due to the fact that the Royals have been consistently bad for so many seasons, multiple glimpses of hope raised my expectations to points not recently seen, so losing cut all the more.Â Â I think I will continue this analysis.Â Your thoughts, Denny?