How close are the Royals to the Tigers? Reviewed by Momizat on . General manager Dayton Moore is on the verge of a trade that could change the fate of the organization for at least the next seven years.  If you are reading t General manager Dayton Moore is on the verge of a trade that could change the fate of the organization for at least the next seven years.  If you are reading t Rating:
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How close are the Royals to the Tigers?

How close are the Royals to the Tigers?

General manager Dayton Moore is on the verge of a trade that could change the fate of the organization for at least the next seven years.  If you are reading the tea leaves he has received a message from ownership to either win this year or face the possibility of losing his job.  With that possible fate Dayton Moore is doing what most people would in similar situation, he’s trying to make a drastic move that will help him in the short-term.  Unfortunately he’s not looking at reality in the short-term either.

If his only goal is to get over .500 then yes adding Jon Lester or James Shields should get the Royals close to achieving that goal.  If his job is to win a division or compete for a playoff spot then I think he’ll still be quite far away from the 2012 division winning Detroit Tigers.  Just compare.

#1 Justin Verlander Last 3 yrs rWAR (6.67)
#2 Max Scherzer (2.7)
#3 Doug Fister (2.7)
#4 Drew Smyly(1.5 WAR only 2013)
#5 Rick Porcello (0.4)
If the Tigers add no one their rotation appears to be a 14 brWAR rotation just based on the last three seasons.

In comparison the Royals rotation would look something like this.
James Shields (1.7) or Jon Lester (3.1)
Ervin Santana (1.2)
Jeremy Guthrie (2.3)
Bruce Chen (1.4)
Luis Mendoza (1.3 2012)
Depending on which starter the Royals sign they look to be anywhere from a 8-10 brWAR rotation.  That number is giving plenty of benefits to Lester, Chen and Santana for their ’10-11 seasons while also giving Mendoza credit for what looked like a change last season.  This rotation could very well be a 5 WAR rotation if things go badly.

If you don’t like WAR I’m sure old school numbers will show a similar disparity.

Just on paper (yes former players and coaches I know you “play the game on the field”) the Tigers rotation is significantly better.

The Royals make up some of that gap in the bullpen and on defense but the Tigers with the additions of Torii Hunter and Victor Martinez easily out gain them in the hitting department.  The Royals could get close if everything went perfect with a couple MVP seasons out of Sal Perez, Eric Hosmer or Mike Moustakas while Franceour returns to past solid seasons along with Butler and Gordon hitting like they have the past couple of seasons.  That is quite a bit to ask for from young and inconsistent talent.

The Royals should be more concerned about just getting better in 2013, answering questions of what they have in Moose, Hos, Myers, Cain and trying to find out if they can get to .500 with the current roster.  If they are 100% committed to acquiring a starter then I’ll give a list tomorrow of pitchers they should be interested in that wouldn’t cost them a possible right-field star.

About The Author

I grew up on the mean gravel roads of Iowa where I started my love for baseball from the age of 2. George Brett and the voice of Denny Matthews deepened my love even more for the Royals as my father and I spent summers listening to the team on our deck or in the car on our way to or from my little league and high school games. Sports was always the common bond that my father and I enjoyed and the Royals were in the center of that.I currently live in La Vista with my wife, two sons, two dogs and a pair of gross cats where we are grinding through until we can move somewhere warm when we retire. I own Casino Cab Company and Bluffs Affordable Auto Repair in Council Bluffs trying to build my 1% empire. If you are in the area you can find me at Omaha Storm Chasers games on most nights or just follow me on twitter @ClintScoles.

Number of Entries : 822

Comments (2)

  • Clint Scoles

    unclejesse

    The Royals franchise could look very different if just one or two prospects make a move to the rotation and they have pieces that could find a way there in Lamb, Odorizzi, Ventura and Will Smith.

    Hell if Paulino and Duffy just bounceback a rotation of Guthrie, Paulino mix of ’10&’11 and Duffy is significantly better than what they had last year.

  • unclejesse

    Clint I couldnt agree more with this. there are just to many question marks on this team to think that one Ace pitcher is going to get us to the playoffs. GMDM gave us 6 years of talking about the process and I can’t believe that trading young controlable players for 2 years of good pitching to possibly make a run prior to even breaking .500 is not what I thought was the “Process”. I will be looking forward to your breakdown of possible pitching targets.

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